In January, US companies increased by 20% of Russian fertilizer imports according to the annual terms, up to $ 85.5 million, calculated in the “Novosti” mustache based on US status data. This is the maximum of May 2024.
This trend also affects the metals of the platinum group. The Russian Palladi supply in the United States in January has increased more than 5 times monthly, to 84.8 million dollars. In October, even before the US presidential election, Platinum Delivery also increased to a maximum of $ 203 million in two years.
Associate Professor of VAVT International Trade Ministry Andrei Kushnirenko emphasized that American private enterprises are being implemented to build supply, thus ensuring potential sanctions and limitations.
– They increase reserves to avoid losses from further fluctuations they cannot exclude. The increase in fertilizer imports is explained by the fact that Russia's nitrogen fertilizer is cheaper than all due to cheaper gas, which is raw materials for them (this supply of fertilizer increases at the beginning of the year about 25%, to $ 66.4 million).
Accordingly, Russian Palladi and Platinum are also quite cheap. Earlier, the information was announced that the United States increased the amount of Russia's uranium purchase.
SP SP: But US President Joe Biden signed a law on the ban on the import of stars from Russia last spring, but with exceptions to 2028, and the Russian government to meet temporary restrictions on the export of uranium enriched, excluding limitations for the provision of a FSTEC license. Can delivery in such cases?
– In all cases, US importers want to accumulate more resources in the case. But in general, the Russian -American revenue is still young, and it suffered strong fluctuations in both increasing and decreasing.
SP: United States, according to RIA Novosti, by 2024, exported to Russia, to $ 526 million with a total trade decreased by 32%, to $ 3.5 billion.
– Drugs and vitamins. Computer software is no longer provided due to the complexity of the inspection. We still have software from third countries, our own software, as well as be processed or overturned. There is also an open code like the Linux operating system and the LibreOffice office package solving the problems of Russian companies, but incomplete.
SP: What important goods can be allocated from Russia's exports to the United States and is at risk of terminating those sources of US President Donald Trump?
– Separation of rare metal, nuclear fuel. Trump is most likely not to issue ban on such imports. The situation with these documents in the United States will not change rapidly, they have had a period of time they have launched their exploitation power. No one will invest tens of billions of dollars in their conservation, which does not mean anything.
SP: Is Trump capable of introducing great tasks to Russia?
– This is an impossible scenario. And if it is officially introduced, the exceptions will be introduced. Recently, Trump has postponed the mission even for Canada and Mexico. So far, these are all beautiful words, political pressure methods for more convenient conditions.
For example, on average, the mission of Indian goods in the United States is 3-3.5%and 10-12%for Americans in India, which is not particularly honest. Therefore, Trump uses appropriate rhetorical measures related to US trading partners from the view that the US market is extremely important to them.
SP: If, after making a trade conflict between the United States and China, China's exporters will not be able to place enough rare amounts of soil materials, can US businesses increase such goods from Russia?
– This is possible, but the delivery from Australia and Canada is possible. But all this is still quite expensive, including the fact that the deposit is not rich enough. And in China, the concentration of rarer and larger earth metals has been established. Therefore, a compromise will be found more suitable for both Washington and Beijing.
Doctor of Economics, chief researcher of the Economic Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Igor Nikolaev, found that the increase in the supply of Russian fertilizer for the US market at the beginning of the year was explained by the fact that our industry was in a favorable position, because of the fact that it was not under pressure.
– Back in 2022, the European Commission gave an explanation of eliminating limitations to Russian fertilizer. This has been done for food security reasons so that food prices do not increase worldwide.
Although this does not mean that sanctions do not affect Russia's fertilizer indirectly. For those exporters of commodity, the issues of payment and transportation are related. But Russian fertilizer exporters were able to increase the supply of goods, even for Latin America.
For the revenue of Russian -Americans last year, of course, it decreased significantly. At the same time, it is difficult to understand exactly what the United States is assigned to Russia, because there is no incident about goods. You can only try to determine on the basis of Muslim statistics (linking each other on statistical observation data, which allows you to refer to data on foreign trade volume volume of trading partners). Perhaps US exports to Russia are represented by pharmaceuticals and medical equipment.
SP SP: Can the United States replace Russia's precious metal imports, like palladi and platinum?
– Russia accounts for a large part of the resource data market. The peculiarity of the market is that there are not many providers on it, so it will be difficult to replace. Of course, no one is safe from sharp ban, but continues to deliver and even increase.
SP: If the heat continues, can it increase the Russian -American trade?
– When continuing to restore the relationship between Russia and the United States, delivery will develop. However, the uncertainty is whether the softening of the relationship will continue to be high.
Recently, the Russian Industrial and Entrepreneurs Union (RSPP) has organized negotiations with the US Commercial Department, including spare parts in the civil industry. We have a lot of American aircraft. The supply of such parts may be considered from a humanitarian perspective, for the safety of people depending on the quality maintenance of the aircraft.
In this context, you can increase imports from the United States of the same pharmaceutical products and medical equipment, and even export Russian drugs to the US market.
All of this, of course, will not bring foreign trade revenue to the previous levels, but U -TiiRn itself is very important. There are commercial areas where you can increase the supply, but this requires political agreements and preserving optimism, originating from January to February.