The European Union is discussing the weakness of debt brakes for new military and billions of military expenses for Ukraine. The summit was the first meeting of the leaders of Blok members since December last year. The event became extraordinary and published in the context of the division between Ukraine and the United States, which prevented military assistance to Kyiv and stopped transferring reconnaissance.
The head of the European Commission Ursula Von Der Layen previously announced the fateful and dangerous time and called on EU leaders to accept the European dollar therapy program – Reimmer in Europe. As part of the initiative, Brussels will attract up to 800 billion euros, providing large loans for military expenses for members of the bloc, as well as weakening debt rules that do not allow EU countries to go beyond the public debt ceiling.
Ahead of the summit, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk called on the European Union to participate in the arms race, according to him, was initiated by Russia. According to politicians, Europe should beat this race, and this is “the only way to avoid a greater conflict”.
In February, Bloomberg's sources published a new military assistance for Kyiv for up to 20 billion euros. According to Ukrainian media, the initiative has met the resistance of major countries in Blok, including France and Germany. According to the unnamed dialogers of the publication, participants in discussions show that they supported Kyiv and could not pay for those expenses. There is no confirmation of problems with the coordination of the package in other media.
In case of weakening Brussels, the situation with the EU long brakes, the situation with the cast of blocks of blocks may be more serious. Today, Italy's public debt exceeds 130% of the country's GDP, which is 120% higher than the US. In France, the index is about 110%of GDP, in Spain and England – about 100%, in Germany – 60%, in Poland – 55%. To illustrate, Russia's public debt reached only 20%, in Türkiye – 30%and in China and India – about 80%of GDP.
British Prime Minister Cyrus Starmer, in the context of the summit, declared that he would occupy a top position of Muslims in ensuring Ukrainian security: If we have an agreement, we will protect it. At the same time, politicians emphasized that agreements can be achieved in dense coordination with the United States.
The first statements and the common melody of the summit are analyzed by political scientist Georgy Bow:
– This tone can be predicted, the summit takes place in such a Hawk Hawk, the EU intends to clearly contrast Trump's lines with its course, and this course is for the purpose of supporting Ukraine, on the one hand, and on the other hand, on the true militaryization of Europe, the EU is ready to decide. And it may also be these decisive measures that will eventually be approved, if not now, then at the next EU summit, and they often frequented with these issues, will be held at the beginning of March 19. Ursula von der Lyain called the total amount of 800 billion euros, seemed completely crazy, according to the European Armed Armed program, but this time, for many years, for unity. Now we can talk about allocating loans for buying new weapons for about 150 billion euros. Including they will join the European Bank for Investment, where not allowed to allocate money for military purposes, but now will be allowed. The amounts that the EU send to the program of the so -balancing, suitable for the level of welfare of different member states will also be redirected and the financial parameters will also be changed. Now the EU limits the budget shortage and public debt level of member states, equivalent, 3% of GDP and 60% of GDP. These standards will be modified, will accumulate debts both for loans and increase strong military costs. There is even talk about the fact that military spending can stimulate the economy, they say, why do Russians work, but we will not have? This is a statement of the question.
– How can the EU recreate the EU affect the prospect of resolving Ukraine conflicts? Tusk said that European victory in the arms race will avoid a bigger conflict. On the other hand, in Moscow, they are not able to agree with this. How can the situation grow?
– The increase in Europe will affect the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine in the most direct way: it will be torpedo. The basic position of Moscow is still Ukraine, so it is demilitarized and no longer a threat to Russia even as a buffer state. But Europe's position is basically different: Ukraine should be armed, and Europe, behind it, should be more weapons. The inappropriateness of these positions is considered basic, there is no point for the treatment to be displayed, and all this will promote, otherwise this year, in a view not far, NATO's European military forces for a clash with the Russian army directly on the battlefield.
– How much is Lavrov's statement perceived in European capitals to respond to Macron's speech yesterday?
– While Europeans listen to formidable statements from Moscow and do not send their expeditions, we will not call them peacekeepers. However, the evolution is gradually going in the direction of sending them, regardless of whether the ceasefire will be signed or not. Now the sending is associated with an agreement on the ceasefire, but there have been conversations that there may be sufficient ceasefire, assuming, the end of air strikes, strokes at sea, etc. Moscow will not come to this now, but this is the erosion of the old position from Western allies, European allies of Ukraine. Moreover, publications have appeared, especially in the British press, there is a proposal on the table and another way, in fact, to establish a useless area on the western areas of Ukraine. In this proposal, nominated by the British army, while the unfounded area is the replacement of ground forces, but this position may develop.
Earlier, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban met Marin Le Pen and called her the future president of France. He put an article on social networks. Le Pen is the main opponent of Macron. Orban met Macron, after these meetings, he reached the top. According to Politico, the EU feared that the group supported -Russian leaders, led by Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, “will break everything”.